New US-led forecasts suggest that La Nina’s meteorological system, which has brought heavy rains and deadly flash floods to Australia’s east coast, is “trying to break”, according to Weatherzone.
This means that the humid weather will remain on the east coast for a while, which raises concerns about the “third La Nina event”.
Current Pacific Ocean surface temperature anomalies, showing a strong La Niña pattern with cooler than average water in the Central and Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean and above-average warmer water in the Western Equatorial Pacific Ocean (NOAA)
While the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) said the system was likely to be released “in late fall or early winter,” U.S. forecasters are telling a different story.
They monitored the sea’s surface temperature and the air pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin to make a prediction.
Sydney was hit by successive rains, culminating in its rainiest start in the year. (9 news)
“La Niña has a 59 percent chance of continuing through the winter in the southern hemisphere, and a 50 to 55 percent chance of continuing through the spring in the southern hemisphere,” Weatherzone said, referring to the US National Meteorological Service’s and Colombia’s CPC (Climate Prediction Center) forecasts. . University International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI).
“It is rare for the La Niña footprint to be so well established in both the ocean and the atmosphere at this time of year.
“The enduring power of this current La Niña is something to be watched in the coming weeks and months.”
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The prediction comes when several states are flogged by heavy rain and storms.
“The trough, which is currently located above the northern outback of Australia, will be reduced to the south over the weekend and will cover clouds and rain over large areas of SA, NSW, QLD and VIC from Sunday to the first half of next week,” Weatherzone said.
“Rain and clouds will initially focus on the central and northern outbacks of Australia over the weekend before extending further south and east from the beginning to the middle of next week.”
Total precipitation of 100 to 200 mm is forecast for parts of the eastern NT and the western and northern QLD. (Weather zone)
Total precipitation reaching 100 to 200 mm is expected to fall in parts of the eastern NT and the western and northern QLD.
The wider areas of Central and Eastern Australia are expected to reach a total of 40 to 80 mm by the middle of this week.
Let’s take a look and find out what the weather is doing this morning in the capitals of the country.
For Brisbane today, the forecast is “a shower of two” and a maximum temperature of 25C.
Rain will be less likely from late afternoon and evening.
Today, the showers are forecast for Sydney as well, where 2 to 5 mm of precipitation is to fall.
Harbor City is forecast to have a maximum temperature of 22 ° C.
Melbourne has woken up to a cold 9 ° C, but fortunately mercury is expected to climb to a peak of 21 ° C.
It will be partly cloudy.
Similar conditions were felt in the nation’s capital; a minimum of 7C gives way to a maximum of 20C.
It will be partly cloudy.
In Hobart, it also pulls during the day.
Morning temperatures dropped to 7 ° C. A maximum of 17 C is forecast.
It may be a little overcast in Adelaide today, but it will be mostly cloudy.
A maximum of 25 C is forecast.
Today will be a sunny day in Darwin with 34 ° C.
Recent showers could hit Perth, with temperatures expected to range from a low of 18 ° C to 29 ° C.
The BoM said there was a chance of a “crash storm tonight.”